All posts in Papers

D. G. Rancourt University of Toronto June 2011 Abstract I describe the basic physics of planetary radiation balance and surface temperature, using the simplest model possible that is sufficiently realistic for correct evaluations of predicted surface temperature response sensitivities to the key Earth parameters. The model is constrained by satellite absolute integrated intensity and spectroscopic measurements and the known longwave absorption cross section of CO2 gas. I show the predicted Earth temperature for zero atmospheric resonant absorption of longwave radiation (no greenhouse effect in the otherwise identical atmosphere) to be-46 o C, not-19 o C as often wrongly stated. Also, …

William J Ripple, Christopher Wolf, Thomas M Newsome, Phoebe Barnard, William R Moomaw Author Notes BioScience, biz088, https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biz088 Published: 05 November 2019 A correction has been published: BioScience, biz152, https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biz152 Download PDF Viewpoint Scientists have a moral obligation to clearly warn humanity of any catastrophic threat and to “tell it like it is.” On the basis of this obligation and the graphical indicators presented below, we declare, with more than 11,000 scientist signatories from around the world, clearly and unequivocally that planet Earth is facing a climate emergency. Exactly 40 years ago, scientists from 50 nations met at the First …

A. Einstein The formal similarity of the curve of the chromatic distribution of black-body radiation and the Maxwell velocity-distribution is too striking to be hidden for long. Download PDF This browser does not support PDFs. Please download the PDF to view it..

By Andy May Soon, Connolly and Connolly (2015) is an excellent paper (pay walled, for the authors preprint, go here) that casts some doubt about two critical IPCC AR5 statements, quoted below: The IPCC, 2013 report page 16: “Equilibrium climate sensitivity is likely in the range 1.5°C to 4.5°C (high confidence), extremely unlikely less than 1°C (high confidence), and very unlikely greater than 6°C (medium confidence).” Page 17: “It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and …

Willie Soon, Ronan Connolly, Michael Connolly Abstract Debate over what influence (if any) solar variability has had on surface air temperature trends since the 19th century has been controversial. In this paper, we consider two factors which may have contributed to this controversy: Several different solar variability datasets exist. While each of these datasets is constructed on plausible grounds, they often imply contradictory estimates for the trends in solar activity since the 19th century. Although attempts have been made to account for non-climatic biases in previous estimates of surface airtemperature trends, recent research by two of the authors has shown …

Jamal Munshi Sonoma State University Date Written: August 25, 2018 Abstract Climate models predict that rising atmospheric CO2 will simultaneously warm the troposphere and cool the stratosphere. This combination of tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling is found in the observational data over a period of rising atmospheric CO2. Although strong correlations between these time series are found in the source data, the correlations do not survive into the detrended series at annual or five-year time scales. The absence of detrended correlation implies that the correlations seen in the source data derive from shared trends and not from responsiveness at annual …

Principia Scientific Published on September 2, 2019 Written by John O’Sullivan 2019 study published in Geophysical Research Letters (GRL) affirms Downward Longwave Radiation (DLR) “cannot be considered an independent component of the surface energy budget.” The conclusion affirms the science of researchers at Principia Scientific International. The paper, ‘Does Surface Temperature Respond to or Determine Downwelling Longwave Radiation?‘ was published on February 19, 2019. The Abstract reads: Abstract Downward longwave radiation (DLR) is often assumed to be an independent forcing on the surface energy budget in analyses of Arctic warming and land‐atmosphere interaction. We use radiative kernels to show that …

Bud Bromley | January 23, 2016 Abstract: “The hypothesis that the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide is related to observable changes in the climate is tested using modern methods of time-series analysis. The results confirm that average global temperature is increasing, and that temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide are significantly correlated over the past thirty years. Changes in carbon dioxide content lag those in temperature by five months.”  (Note date: 22 February 1990) http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1990Natur.343..709K Nature 343, 709 – 714 (22 February 1990); doi:10.1038/343709a0 Coherence established between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature CYNTHIA KUO, CRAIG LINDBERG & DAVID J. THOMSON Mathematical Sciences Research Center, AT&T Bell Labs, …