The Impossibility Of The 1.5C Target

The Impossibility Of The 1.5C Target

Not a Lot of People Know That By Paul Homewood | September 22, 2021 As you will recall, the Paris Agreement set a target of 2C warming from pre-industrial levels, but parties agreed to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C. These of course were only “wishes”, and the Agreement had contained nothing of substance to meet either of these objectives. Nevertheless, the upcoming COP26 is increasingly being presented as an opportunity to get global warming down from 2C to 1.5C. Even if you accept the basic premise of GHGs, this is a nonsense. As already pointed …

Record Power Prices & Blackouts Hit Germany

Not a Lot of People Know That By Paul Homewood | September 19, 2021 Just in case anybody thinks that the energy crisis is just a UK one, think again! This article is from the German site,  Blackout News: The Germans have broken a record again. Drastically increased wholesale prices and expensive emission rights are driving electricity prices in Germany to ever new record levels. In addition, of course, there are also high taxes and levies for renewable energies and the network charges, which we have already listed in our article “This is why we have the most expensive electricity …

Green Britain faces food shortages as energy crisis shuts down factories

Green Britain faces food shortages as energy crisis shuts down factories

The GPWF 18/09/21 As energy prices in Europe go through the roof, factories are beginning to shut down and food is disappearing from the shelves. Welcome to green Britain, offering a foretaste of what life will be like under Net Zero conditions – poorer, colder, hungrier – unless Government changes course. Acute food shortages were feared last night after high gas prices forced most of Britain’s commercial production of carbon dioxide to shut down. Emergency talks were being held between government officials and food producers, retailers and the energy industry with warnings of a “black swan event”, an extremely rare blow with …

Limits to existing quantitative understanding of past, present and future changes to atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration

A presentation by Richard S. Courtney to the Climate Conference held In New York, on 2 to 4 March 2008 Synopsis This presentation demonstrates that it cannot be known what if any effect altering the anthropogenic emission of carbon dioxide (CO2) will have on the future atmospheric CO2 concentration. It is commonly assumed that the rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration during the twentieth century (approx. 30% rise) is a result of anthropogenic emissions of CO2 (1,2,3) . However, the annual pulse of anthropogenic CO2 into the atmosphere should relate to the annual increase of CO2 in the atmosphere if one …

Preprint #3: Human carbon emissions caused only 25% of the CO2 increase

Preprint #3: Human carbon emissions caused only 25% of the CO2 increase

August 12, 2021: Today, the Swiss journal “Atmosphere” accepted this for publication. edberry.com | September 12, 2021 Comments by scientists: “Dear Ed, Congratulations – a wonderful piece of work.” – Dr. Nils-Axel Morner “A proper model must address all CO2 in the atmosphere at once, without discrimination. You do that magnificently from first principles.” – Dr. Gordon Fulks “Ed does not make mathematical mistakes in solving his rate equations.” – Dr. William Happer Dr. Richard Courtney wrote in his email to global-warming-realists@googlegroups.com on November 21, 2019: Dear Ed, I again provided my 2008 paper as an attachment to an email earlier today.  …

Checking for model consistency in optimal fingerprinting: a comment

Abstract Allen and Tett (1999, herein AT99) introduced a Generalized Least Squares (GLS) regression methodology for decomposing patterns of climate change for attribution purposes and proposed the “Residual Consistency Test” (RCT) to check the GLS specification. Their methodology has been widely used and highly influential ever since, in part because subsequent authors have relied upon their claim that their GLS model satisfies the conditions of the Gauss-Markov (GM) Theorem, thereby yielding unbiased and efficient estimators. But AT99 stated the GM Theorem incorrectly, omitting a critical condition altogether, their GLS method cannot satisfy the GM conditions, and their variance estimator is …

How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? An ongoing debate

Abstract In order to evaluate how much Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) has influenced Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature trends, it is important to have reliable estimates of both quantities. Sixteen different estimates of the changes in TSI since at least the 19th century were compiled from the literature. Half of these estimates are “low variability” and half are “high variability”. Meanwhile, five largely-independent methods for estimating Northern Hemisphere temperature trends were evaluated using: 1) only rural weather stations; 2) all available stations whether urban or rural (the standard approach); 3) only sea surface temperatures; 4) tree-ring widths as temperature proxies; …

Who Erased The Medieval Warm Period?

Who Erased The Medieval Warm Period?

No Tricks Zone 2. September 2021 Written by: a Die kalte Sonne scientist/IPCC 6th report reviewer (Translation, edited and subheadings by P. Gosselin) The latest UN report distorts climate history. The tracks lead to Bern, Switzerland. In the Middle Ages, it was similarly warm in Switzerland and other parts of Central Europe as it is today. The so-called Medieval Warm Period (MWP) is scientifically well documented in the region: Between 800 and 1300 A.D., many Alpine glaciers shrank dramatically and some were even shorter than today. The tree line shifted upward. Permafrost thawed in high alpine regions that are still …

Why 95% of all scientists…pro and skeptics of manmade global warming and climate change…are wrong on carbon dioxide

Why 95% of climate scientists are wrong on carbon dioxide and climate change

ClimateCite Corp, 28 July, 2021 Why do so few scientists practicing in the climate field acknowledge Henry’s Law & ocean chemistry as the predominate CO2 control factor? Most scientists practicing in the “climate field” are not degreed physicists or chemists. They typically have geology, geography, and metrology backgrounds and are not well versed in the areas such as Henry’s Law, Raoult’s law or the Le Chatelier principle. Most climate scientists pursued a decision branch based on an a priori assumption before consideration of Henry’s Law and other principals of physical chemistry concerning carbon dioxide and its interaction with acquis solutions.  …